Archives: Research

India’s Demonetization Experiment

In a recent blog post on Alt-M, an alternative money website, Lawrence H. White, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute and professor of economics at George Mason University, discussed how two groups—Baptists and bootleggers—have largely become one and the same. He referred to the two types of groups that tend to spearhead prohibitions, the former on ethical grounds, and the latter with the goal of eliminating legal competition. In the blog post, the prohibition he is concerned about is on the use of cash.

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Blockchain: Changes Coming to Wall Street?

New technology can both disrupt and entrench existing large and powerful players in a market. In a previous article, I explained the importance of blockchain technology. A blockchain is a type of database that is distributed to all users without a centrally managed hub and that stores unalterable digital records. It is most commonly known today as the technology underlying bitcoin, keeping records of the cryptocurrency’s ownership and allowing ownership to be transferred.

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The Housing Market Does Not Need Stimulus from the FHA

At the height of the housing bubble in 2005, both existing and new home sales reached all-time highs—7 million for existing home sales for the year and nearly 1.4 million for new home sales. To put the housing bubble in perspective, new home sales increased three-fold from their low in 1991 to their high in 2005. Home prices as measured by the Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index rose more that 200 percent between the mid-1990s and the height of the housing bubble.

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February Business Conditions Monthly

The U.S. economy performed solidly in 2016, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Our index of Primary Leading Indicators also remained well into expansionary territory in the latest month, suggesting a low risk of recession in the months ahead. With the Federal Reserve’s slow approach to a tightening monetary policy, the greatest risk is that we don’t know what to expect from Trump administration policies.

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