Business Conditions Monthly
Economic risks rising

October Business Conditions Monthly

– October 17, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index fell in September but remains slightly above neutral. Risks to the economy are rising.

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Business Conditions Monthly

September Business Conditions Monthly

– September 12, 2019

AIER’s leading indicators index rose in August, moving slightly above neutral; consumers remain key.

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Business Conditions Monthly
emptyfactory

August Business Conditions Monthly

– August 15, 2019

AIER’s leading indicators fell back below neutral in July; second-quarter GDP posted a modest gain, but details look solid. AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back slightly in July, dropping to 46 following neutral 50 read …

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Business Conditions Monthly
consumerspending

July Business Conditions Monthly

– July 12, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index was unchanged in June, holding at the neutral reading of 50. The Lagging Indicators index was also unchanged in the latest month, repeating the May result of 42. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index fell for a second …

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Business Conditions Monthly
slowprogress

June Business Conditions Monthly

– June 14, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index rose 12 points to a neutral reading of 50 in May, up from 38 in April. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index both fell, to 75 and 42, respectively (see chart). May is the second consecu …

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Business Conditions Monthly
Pendulum-Hypnosis-Swing-Clock-Commute-Pocket-Watch-4041584

May Business Conditions Monthly

– May 9, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index rose 13 points to 38 in April, up from 25 in March. March’s result was the lowest since June 2009. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index both held steady, at 83 and 67, respectively (se …

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Business Conditions Monthly
watchingmarkets

April Business Conditions Monthly

– April 16, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index dropped 17 points to 25 in March, the lowest level since June 2009. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index also fell, to 83 and 67, respectively (see chart). March is the third consecuti …

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Business Conditions Monthly
Listview_cautionsign

March Business Conditions Monthly

– March 14, 2019

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index held steady at 42 in February while the Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index were also unchanged, at 92 and 75, respectively (see chart). Despite having the Leadi …

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Business Conditions Monthly
LIST_VIEW_258292643

February Business Conditions Monthly

– February 14, 2019

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index fell 16 points to 42 in January. The result was the first reading below 50 since August 2016. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index fell to 92 while the Lagging Indicators index dropped to 75 …

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Business Conditions Monthly
LIST_VIEWbullsbears

January Business Conditions Monthly

– January 17, 2019

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index fell 21 points to 58 in December. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 100 while the Lagging Indicators index gained 16 points to reach 83 (see chart). The sharp decline in the Leadin …

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