AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Surges in September as Recovery Broadens

– October 14, 2020

“AIER’s Leading Indicators index rose sharply in September, jumping to 67, suggesting the recovery has broadened substantially and may signal the end of the recession.” – Robert Hughes

READ MORE

AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Improves in August but Remains Well Below Neutral

– September 8, 2020

The AIER Business Cycle Conditions indexes remained well below neutral in August, suggesting a rapid recovery is unlikely and that full recovery may be more drawn out, uneven, and uncertain.

READ MORE

AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Takes A Small Step Up in July

– August 7, 2020

AIER’s Leading Indicators index increased to 8 in July. The result suggests a rapid recovery is unlikely and that full recovery is likely to be more drawn out, uneven, and uncertain.

READ MORE

AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators Indexes Remain at 0 in June.

– July 9, 2020

While signs of rebound in some measures of economic activity have started to emerge, reinstatement of lockdown restrictions could smother the nascent recovery.

READ MORE
Business Conditions Monthly

Hitting Bottom: AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators Indexes Drop to 0

– June 8, 2020

Despite the widespread devastation to the economy, there are a few statistics showing signs of modest rebounds, supported by the easing of restrictions placed on people and businesses.

READ MORE

May 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

– May 11, 2020

AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators indexes drop to 33, reflecting the economic devastation.

READ MORE

April 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

– April 13, 2020

Despite the continued modestly positive reading for the Leading Indicator index, the U.S. economy likely contracted in March, ending the longest U.S. economic expansion on record.

READ MORE
Business Conditions Monthly

March 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

– March 6, 2020

AIER’s Leading Indicators Index remains close to neutral; COVID-19 threatens the outlook. Extreme caution is warranted.

READ MORE
Business Conditions Monthly

February 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

– February 6, 2020

A decline for the AIER Leading Indicators index leaves the index at a neutral 50 for January

READ MORE
January BCM

January 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

– January 16, 2020

The AIER Leading Indicators index gave back the small gain from November, leaving the index just slightly above neutral for the fifth consecutive month.

READ MORE
AIER Leading Indicators Index

December Business Conditions Monthly

– December 12, 2019

The AIER Leading Indicators index posted a small gain in November but remains close to neutral, supporting a cautious outlook.

READ MORE
Business Conditions Monthly

November Business Conditions Monthly

– November 14, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index held steady in October, remaining slightly above neutral. Slow growth continues as economy remains vulnerable.

READ MORE