March Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators Index remains close to neutral; COVID-19 threatens the outlook. Extreme caution is warranted.
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February Business Conditions Monthly
A decline for the AIER Leading Indicators index leaves the index at a neutral 50 for January
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January Business Conditions Monthly
The AIER Leading Indicators index gave back the small gain from November, leaving the index just slightly above neutral for the fifth consecutive month.
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December Business Conditions Monthly
The AIER Leading Indicators index posted a small gain in November but remains close to neutral, supporting a cautious outlook.
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November Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators index held steady in October, remaining slightly above neutral. Slow growth continues as economy remains vulnerable.
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October Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators index fell in September but remains slightly above neutral. Risks to the economy are rising.
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September Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s leading indicators index rose in August, moving slightly above neutral; consumers remain key.
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August Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s leading indicators fell back below neutral in July; second-quarter GDP posted a modest gain, but details look solid. AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back slightly in July, dropping to 46 following neutral 50 read …
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July Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators index was unchanged in June, holding at the neutral reading of 50. The Lagging Indicators index was also unchanged in the latest month, repeating the May result of 42. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index fell for a second …
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June Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators index rose 12 points to a neutral reading of 50 in May, up from 38 in April. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index both fell, to 75 and 42, respectively (see chart). May is the second consecu …
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