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Robert Hughes

Our Economic Model Shows Weakness, Stability

Here at AIER, we use our data-driven Business-Cycle Conditions model as a barometer of the health of the economy, and the risk of recession. Last month, we saw quite a shift downward, as our index of leading indicators fell below the neutral level of 50 for the first time in 110 months. Today we are releasing this month’s results, and our model shows the Leaders index unchanged at 38.

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