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September 16, 2022
Robert Hughes

Consumer Inflation Expectations Fell and Sentiment Edged Higher in Early September

“Consumer sentiment edged higher in early September but remains at recessionary levels. Inflation expectations fell to a 12-month low, but consumer uncertainty about the economy rose.” ~ Robert Hughes

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September 15, 2022
Peter Ireland

How to Make Disinflation Less Scary

“Economists are correct in warning the public about the likely costs of disinflation. But leaders within and outside the Fed should not sit back and take these costs as given.” ~ Peter N. Ireland

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September 13, 2022
Peter C. Earle

No, Hyperinflation Is Not Right Around the Corner

“The pursuit of sound money is more profitably directed at identifying profligate monetary policy measures, rather than the consequenceless prediction of extraordinary, and extraordinarily unlikely, outcomes.” ~ Peter C. Earle

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September 5, 2022
William J. Luther

The Inflation Tide Appears To Be Turning

“If monthly core inflation rates are at or below 0.2 percent in August and September, we might more confidently conclude that the Fed is back on track. Until then, we can only hope for the best.” ~ William J. Luther

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August 31, 2022
Vincent Geloso

There Is No Such Thing As Wage-Driven Inflation

“Friedman’s pouncing on Heller has, unfortunately, had no effect on American journalists. News shows and economic commentators still repeat variants of the claim made by Heller: Rising wages will contribute to inflation.” ~ Vincent Geloso

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August 24, 2022
William J. Luther

Why Will Inflation Remain So High For So Long?

“I cannot think of a good reason for inflation to remain high through 2024; but many bad reasons come to mind. The most likely explanation, in my opinion, is that Fed officials do not take their average inflation target very seriously.” ~ William J. Luther

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Michael Graham

What Happened to Reducing Inflation?

“The NBC News poll asked what impact voters believed the new law, whatever it is called, will have on them personally. Just 26 percent said it would make things better; 35 percent said it would make things worse.” ~ Michael Graham

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August 17, 2022
Peter C. Earle

About That “0 Percent” Inflation in July

“Americans consume goods and services, not the CPI. A look within the June to July 2022 price index exposes 0% inflation as a meaningless statistical aberration. Celebrating it as an achievement is pitiful.” ~ Peter C. Earle

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August 16, 2022
James Hanley

Is the Inflation Reduction Act Really a Climate Policy Game-Changer?

“On the actual policy level, the gains appear to be much more marginal than revolutionary. That’s not because of the oil lease mandates, but because of the marginal nature of the policies themselves.” ~ James E. Hanley

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August 11, 2022
William J. Luther

Accounting for Inflation

“The great irony is that inflation would have been transitory if only the Fed had stabilized nominal spending. Prices would have risen above trend to reflect below-trend production and then returned to trend as production recovered.” ~ William J. Luther & Morgan Timmann

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