Topic: Economic Trends

A Short Guide to ESG: History

– November 19, 2023

“Browsing the websites of ESG-advocating organizations gives the sense that ESG is cutting edge, technologically sophisticated, a wise investment strategy, and the road to increasing profitability.” ~Paul Mueller

READ MORE

AIER’s Everyday Price Index Declines Most Since December 2022

– November 14, 2023

“The October inflation release provides a welcome respite from resurgent price increases over the past few months. But while the most recent CPI and EPI readings relay a positive state of affairs in the resumption of disinflation, challenges and uncertainties persist.” ~Peter C. Earle

READ MORE

Underdog States Improve Their Business Tax Climate

– November 14, 2023

” As they continue to reduce tax burdens, they create environments where individuals and businesses can retain more of their earnings, which invites innovation, improves the quality of life, and encourages moving to those states.” ~Vance Ginn

READ MORE

A Short ESG Guide: Terms

– November 12, 2023

“While I have attempted to clarify the ESG advocates’ terms, the devil is in the details. One of the weakest parts of ESG is the ambiguity and disagreement, even among its advocates, as to how to define and measure many of their objectives.” ~Paul Mueller

READ MORE

WeInflate, WeMalinvest, WeWork 

– November 9, 2023

“Companies founded in easy money periods will tend to be the most vulnerable. Many firms will survive the credit crunch, but few will emerge unscathed.” ~Peter C. Earle

READ MORE

Business Conditions Monthly September 2023

– November 8, 2023

“While we refrain from providing a specific magnitude for our recession forecast and acknowledge the possibility of inaccuracies or outright error, we maintain our contention that the US will enter an economic recession by September 2024.” ~Peter C. Earle

READ MORE

Driver Shortage? Not So Fast

– November 6, 2023

“Rather than work with shippers and receivers to fix these issues, the trucking industry has decided that it is more cost effective to stick taxpayers with the bill for replacing truckers who, having discovered that the business neither respects nor pays for their time, make the rational choice to quit.” ~Gord Magill

READ MORE

Alan Blinder: Let Them Eat Disinflation

– November 1, 2023

“Blinder thinks deflation always and everywhere causes economic harm. ‘It takes a truly sick economy to cause deflation,’ he warns. But he’s wrong.” ~Alexander W. Salter

READ MORE

Do Shortages Signal the Fragility of Free Trade?

– October 23, 2023

“If protectionism makes supply chains more robust, then we should expect to see that in the data. A quick overview shows, however, that protected industries are more vulnerable to shocks than less-protected industries.” ~Jon Murphy

READ MORE

The FTC’s Amazonian Snipe Hunt

– October 21, 2023

“The FTC argues that Amazon’s market power inhibits the ability of competitors to enter the retail superstore marketplace. Such concerns are likely overblown.” ~David Gillette and Warren Barge

READ MORE

Worst US Bond Selloff Since 1792

– October 13, 2023

“The failure of numerous banks at once can damage the economy, as bank failure waves did during the Great Depression, the Savings and Loan crisis in the 1980s, and the 2007-10 meltdown.” ~Robert E. Wright

READ MORE

Catch-up Inflation

– October 11, 2023

“Where there is collective bargaining, workers go on strike to demand higher wages in order to catch-up to inflation. Elsewhere in the economy, individual workers bargain for higher wages with their current employer, or begin searching for better-paying jobs.” ~Clifford Thies

READ MORE