Outlook for Profit Margins

– August 5, 2014

Fifty years ago, the world was a different place. In 1964, Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, China detonated its first atomic bomb, Russian Premier Nikita Khruschev was deposed, and Nelson Mandela was sentenced to life in prison. In the U.S., Lyndon Johnson received the democratic nomination for President, the Warren Commission’s report on the assassination of President Kennedy was released, New York hosted the World’s Fair, Congress passed the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution, the Beatles appeared on The Ed Sullivan Show, and the S&P 500 hit a peak of 86.28 in November. 

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Gas Prices Not a Risk to Growth

– June 30, 2014

Gas prices’ 15 percent jump in six months may be painful at the pump but is moderate by historical measures and not enough to derail the economic expansion.

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Capital Spending Outlook Upbeat

– June 3, 2014

An improving economy and favorable financial conditions suggest a positive outlook.

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Housing Outlook Restrained

– May 1, 2014

Single-family housing recovery at risk from rising interest rates and restricted credit.

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Spring Ahead

– April 7, 2014

With the spring home-building season approaching, we expect the multi-family segment to be the strongest part of the housing market.

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Weather Weakness

– March 4, 2014

Severe weather has slowed the economy resulting in a drop in our Business Cycle Conditions indicators, but we believe the effects are temporary.

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Global Expectations Rising

– February 6, 2014

Forecasts for global economic growth are rising, providing some upside potential for U.S. exports – but risks remain.

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Auspicious Start to 2014

– January 9, 2014

AIER’s researchers identify six key areas to watch in 2014.

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Holiday Spending Outlook Upbeat

– December 10, 2013

Strong readings from AIER’s indicators reinforce a positive outlook for the holiday shopping season.

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Private Sector Marches On

– November 8, 2013

The latest update to AIER’s indicators of Business-Cycle Conditions suggests economic growth is likely to continue.

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Labor Woes Persist

– October 25, 2013

The Federal Reserve surprised market watchers in mid-September by reaffirming its stimulative monetary policy, citing slow progress in the economic recovery.

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The Consumer Lags Behind

– September 16, 2013

Expansion continues, but stagnating personal incomes pose a threat to long-term growth.

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