Topic: Business Conditions

Global Expectations Rising

– February 6, 2014

Forecasts for global economic growth are rising, providing some upside potential for U.S. exports – but risks remain.

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Auspicious Start to 2014

– January 9, 2014

AIER’s researchers identify six key areas to watch in 2014.

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Holiday Spending Outlook Upbeat

– December 10, 2013

Strong readings from AIER’s indicators reinforce a positive outlook for the holiday shopping season.

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Private Sector Marches On

– November 8, 2013

The latest update to AIER’s indicators of Business-Cycle Conditions suggests economic growth is likely to continue.

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Labor Woes Persist

– October 25, 2013

The Federal Reserve surprised market watchers in mid-September by reaffirming its stimulative monetary policy, citing slow progress in the economic recovery.

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The Consumer Lags Behind

– September 16, 2013

Expansion continues, but stagnating personal incomes pose a threat to long-term growth.

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Private Sector Soldiers On

– August 26, 2013

Despite the impact of reduced public spending, the recovery remains intact.

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Confidence Runs High

– July 22, 2013

Although the economic expansion has slowed, both consumers and producers remain optimistic. In the short run, this optimism means the expansion will continue. It is likely to strengthen later in the year as consumer demand buoys economic activity. 

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Easy Money Talks

– June 17, 2013

The Fed’s latest round of asset purchases was designed to bolster the recovery. It also created a scenario where unwinding could be politically difficult. 

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Housing Revives

– May 1, 2013

Business Cycle Conditions May, 2013 by Zinnia Mukherjee There is a long path ahead. Even today’s healthy economy contains reason for caution. But progress in the housing market is steady.

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Labor Market Recovers Unevenly

– April 1, 2013

Business Cycle ConditionsApril 2013by Steven R. Cunningham and Zinnia Mukherjee

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Income Shifts; Recovery Holds

– March 1, 2013

Business Cycle ConditionsVol II, no. 3 | March, 2013by Polina Vlasenko, PhD

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