Structural Shifts Hamper Recovery

– August 1, 2011

Business Cycle ConditionsAugust 2011Weakness is spreading as the jobless rate remains high and several parts of the economy adjust to changing times and struggle to recover from recession.by Polina Vlasenko, PhD, Research Fellow

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Gold Standard or Bust

– July 25, 2011

Article and photo originally published at The Weekly Standard August 1, 2011 As the truth-or-dare battle over raising the debt ceiling moves toward a resolution of some sort, we are witnessing a unique political moment, with attention finally riveted o …

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The Recovery’s Anemia May Last Awhile

– June 3, 2011

Business Cycle ConditionsJune, 2011Excessive debt keeps the private sector from taking off. No government stimulus can fix this.by Polina Vlasenko, PhD, Research Fellow

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Regional Problems Darken the Outlook

– May 2, 2011

Business Cycle ConditionsMay, 2011The continuing woes of states that rode high on the real-estate boom are exerting a drag on the broader economy. But federal policymakers don’t have the right tools to fix this.by Polina Vlasenko, PhD, Research Fellow

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Business-Cycle Conditions 01/11/2010

– January 19, 2011

January 2010: Percent of Leaders Expanding Increases to 90; Cyclical Score of Leaders Increases to 62       Despite improvements in the labor market and a rise in industrial production, record breaking debt continues to hold ba …

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Business-Cycle Conditions 02/01/2010

– January 19, 2011

February 2010: Percent of Leaders Expanding Increases to 91; Cyclical Score of Leaders Increases to 63       The economy is showing signs of life, but a jumble of government proposals could thwart the recovery.The economy …

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Business-Cycle Conditions 12/06/2010

– January 19, 2011

December 2010: Percent of Leaders Expanding Drops to 91; Cyclical Score of Leaders Remains at 91       AIER’s statistical indicators of business-cycle conditions show that the recovery is likely to continue. The growth rat …

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Mismanaging the World Economy

– May 1, 2008

Research Reports – 1978, Issue: 29 Also: Finance: Have Interest Rates Reached a Peak?

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Is Human Progress Possible?

– May 1, 2008

Research Reports – 1991, Issue: 02 Also: Business Cycle Conditions

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Inflation Hedges Compared

– May 1, 2008

Research Reports – 1991, Issue: 20 Also: Business Cycle Conditions.

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The Yield Curve

– May 1, 2008

Research Reports – 1993, Issue: 14 Also: Business Cycle Conditions

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The Battle Over the Surplus

– May 1, 2008

Research Reports – 1999, Issue: 17 Also: A Review of Business-Cycle Forecasting

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