Global Expectations Rising
Forecasts for global economic growth are rising, providing some upside potential for U.S. exports – but risks remain.
READ MOREHoliday Spending Outlook Upbeat
Strong readings from AIER’s indicators reinforce a positive outlook for the holiday shopping season.
READ MOREPrivate Sector Marches On
The latest update to AIER’s indicators of Business-Cycle Conditions suggests economic growth is likely to continue.
READ MORELabor Woes Persist
The Federal Reserve surprised market watchers in mid-September by reaffirming its stimulative monetary policy, citing slow progress in the economic recovery.
READ MOREThe Consumer Lags Behind
Expansion continues, but stagnating personal incomes pose a threat to long-term growth.
READ MOREPrivate Sector Soldiers On
Despite the impact of reduced public spending, the recovery remains intact.
READ MOREConfidence Runs High
Although the economic expansion has slowed, both consumers and producers remain optimistic. In the short run, this optimism means the expansion will continue. It is likely to strengthen later in the year as consumer demand buoys economic activity.
READ MOREEasy Money Talks
The Fed’s latest round of asset purchases was designed to bolster the recovery. It also created a scenario where unwinding could be politically difficult.
READ MOREHousing Revives
Business Cycle Conditions May, 2013 by Zinnia Mukherjee There is a long path ahead. Even today’s healthy economy contains reason for caution. But progress in the housing market is steady.
READ MORELabor Market Recovers Unevenly
Business Cycle ConditionsApril 2013by Steven R. Cunningham and Zinnia Mukherjee
READ MOREIncome Shifts; Recovery Holds
Business Cycle ConditionsVol II, no. 3 | March, 2013by Polina Vlasenko, PhD
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