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Real GDP grew at a 2.9 percent pace in the fourth quarter as domestic demand surged. Most of the major components of GDP made positive contributions, and core consumer prices rose at a modest pace, however, corporate profits did show a decline.
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The Consumer Confidence Survey from The Conference Board shows consumer attitudes pulled back slightly in March but remain at historically favorable levels overall, suggesting support for ongoing economic expansion.
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New orders for durable goods rose 3.1 percent in February to $247.7 billion. Over the past 12 months, total durable-goods orders are up 8.9 percent, and since hitting a recent low of $211.5 billion in June 2016, the gain is 17.1 percent.
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AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index rose to a reading of 92 in February returning the index to the three-year high recorded for November and December. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 92 for a second month, while th …
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AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index fell to a reading of 88 in January, slightly below the three-year high of 92 recorded for November and December. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index pulled back to 92 after two months at 100 …
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AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index held at 92 in December, matching the highest level since 2014 and the best multi-month performance since a run of four readings of 100 between October 2013 and January 2014. The Roughly Coincide …
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AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index jumped to 92 in November from a reading of 79 in the prior month. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index rebounded to a perfect 100 after seven consecutive months at 100 were followed by a 92 i …
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Recent indicators for the labor market from ADP, Challenger, Gray, and Christmas, and state unemployment insurance programs remain quite strong, suggesting continuing gains in jobs in the U.S. economy.
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Auto sales eased back to 17.5 million in November, the second monthly slowing following a hurricane-related surge to 18.6 million in September. Despite the slowing over the latest two months, auto sales remain at a high level by historical comparison.
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AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators Index increased to 79 in October from a reading of 75 in the prior month. The Roughly Coincident Indicators Index fell to 92 following seven consecutive months at 100 while the Lagging Indicators Inde …
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The advance estimate for third quarter real gross domestic product (GDP) shows 3.0 growth, but that headline number masks a notable slowdown in private domestic demand.
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The Chicago Fed National Activity Index composite of 85 economic data series suggests growth accelerated in September.
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