Topic: Business Conditions

emptyfactory

August Business Conditions Monthly

– August 15, 2019

AIER’s leading indicators fell back below neutral in July; second-quarter GDP posted a modest gain, but details look solid. AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back slightly in July, dropping to 46 following neutral 50 read …

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jobguy

Labor-Market Strength Continues

– August 8, 2019

Initial claims near 200,000 and private job openings near 7 million suggest the labor market remains tight, supporting personal incomes, consumer confidence, and future consumer spending.

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jobstalk

Services-Sector Expansion Slowed in July

– August 5, 2019

Nonmanufacturing activity expanded at a slower pace in July. The results are consistent with a range of economic data that point to continued though uneven growth.

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servicesector

Solid Jobs Report Suggests Moderate Growth

– August 2, 2019

A solid though not spectacular July jobs report points to continued modest economic growth. It also adds to the uncertainty around monetary policy, making justification for the most recent rate cut and future rate cuts more difficult.

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manufacturing

Manufacturing Weakness Continued in July

– August 1, 2019

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index posted its fourth-straight decline and lowest reading since September 2016. Mixed economic data continue to suggest a high degree of caution amid slow economic expansion.

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nowhiring

Economy Expected to Have Added 156,000 Private Sector Jobs in July

– July 31, 2019

ADP estimates 156,000 new jobs were created in July. Overall, the labor market remains solid, and while uncertainty over trade and monetary policy remain, the most likely path is for continued expansion.

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happyshoppers

Consumer Confidence and Home Prices Move Higher

– July 30, 2019

Consumer confidence rebounded in July and remains at a high level. However, persistently rising home prices are weighing on housing activity.

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homebuilding

Single-Family Housing Activity Is Trending Flat

– July 25, 2019

Home sales rebounded in June. However, little evidence supports an expectation of a significant, sustained acceleration in housing activity in the coming months and quarters.

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durablegoods

Durable-Goods Orders Rose in June

– July 25, 2019

Durable-goods orders rose in June, and core capital-goods orders are holding at a high level. Continued economic expansion remains the most likely path, but policy uncertainty remains a risk.

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SOLD

Existing-Home Sales Fall Again in June

– July 23, 2019

Despite falling mortgage rates, existing-home sales fell and home-price increases decelerated in May.

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clothing

Consumer Spending and Manufacturing Output Improve in June

– July 16, 2019

Retail sales and industrial production improved in June, but data for the economy remain mixed. Overall, continued economic expansion remains the most likely path, but caution is warranted.

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marketcrash

Economic Prediction Is Harder than the Pundits Claim

– July 12, 2019

A recession could be coming tomorrow, or it could be coming in 10 years. The point is, we don’t know. 

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