"The Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle"

Tuesday, May 18, 2010
"On January 3rd, US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke delivered a major speech at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association. In his formal paper, "Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble," Chairman Bernanke argues that the Fed's monetary policy was not responsible for the U.S. housing bubble. He claims that faulty regulation was the primary culprit. Chairman Bernanke's claim is a great canard. The Fed is a serial bubble blower. Let's first consider the Fed-generated demand bubbles. The easiest way to do this is to measure the trend rate of growth in nominal final sales to U.S. purchasers and then examine the deviations from that trend. As the accompanying chart shows, nominal final sales grew at a 5.4% annual rate from the first quarter of 1987 through the third quarter of 2009. This reflects a combination of real sales growth of 3% and inflation of 2.4%." Read more. "The Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle" Steve H. Hanke Via the Cato Institute. Image by Salvatore Vuono / FreeDigitalPhotos.net.