December Business Conditions Monthly

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back in November, dropping to 79 following an 83 in October and 88 in September. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index increased, moving back to 100, while the Lagging Indicators index tumbled 16 points to 67 from an 83 in October (see chart). The mixed results from the […]

Everyday Prices Plunge In November

AIER’s Everyday Price Index plunged 1.0 percent in November after falling 0.1 percent in October. Over the past five months, the EPI has fallen three times for an annualized pace of −2.7 percent. The EPI measures price changes people see in everyday purchases such as groceries, restaurant meals, gasoline, and utilities. It excludes prices of […]

Everyday Prices Fall for the Second Time in Four Months

AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.1 percent in October after being unchanged in September. Over the past four months, the EPI has fallen 0.1 percent in two (October and July) and been unchanged in two (August and September). The EPI measures price changes people see in everyday purchases such as groceries, restaurant meals, gasoline, and […]

October Business Conditions Monthly

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index improved in September, hitting 88 following 83 in August. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at a perfect 100 reading while the Lagging Indicators index also held steady, posting an 83 (see chart below). The AIER business cycle indicators suggest broad-based economic expansion and support a positive outlook […]

Everyday Prices Unchanged for the Second Month in a Row

AIER’s Everyday Price Index was unchanged for the second month in a row in September. The EPI measures price changes people see in everyday purchases such as groceries, restaurant meals, gasoline, and utilities. It excludes prices of infrequently purchased, big-ticket items (such as cars, appliances, and furniture) and prices contractually fixed for prolonged periods (such […]

September Business Conditions Monthly

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index rebounded in the latest month, registering an 83 in August. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 100 while the Lagging Indicators index also held steady, posting an 83 (see chart below). With all three indicators well above the neutral 50 level, the AIER business cycle indicators signal […]

Everyday Prices Unchanged in August as the CPI Increases 0.1 Percent

AIER’s Everyday Price Index was unchanged in August, compared to a 0.1 percent gain in the Consumer Price Index. The EPI is not seasonally adjusted, so we compare it with the unadjusted CPI. Over the past 12 months, the EPI has risen 3.3 percent while the CPI is up 2.7 percent. The EPI measures price […]

August Business Conditions Monthly

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index eased back in July, registering a 79 following a 92. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index returned to a perfect 100 reading while the Lagging Indicators index fell to 83 (see chart below). Despite the mixed results, the AIER business cycle indicators signal continued economic expansion and support a […]