Business-Cycle Conditions

Monday, April 7th, 2014

With the spring home-building season approaching, we expect the multi-family segment to be the strongest part of the housing market.

Tuesday, March 4th, 2014

Severe weather has slowed the economy resulting in a drop in our Business Cycle Conditions indicators, but we believe the effects are temporary.

Thursday, February 6th, 2014

Forecasts for global economic growth are rising, providing some upside potential for U.S. exports – but risks remain.

Thursday, January 9th, 2014

AIER’s researchers identify six key areas to watch in 2014.

Tuesday, December 10th, 2013

Strong readings from AIER’s indicators reinforce a positive outlook for the holiday shopping season.

Friday, November 8th, 2013

The latest update to AIER’s indicators of Business-Cycle Conditions suggests economic growth is likely to continue.

Friday, October 25th, 2013

The Federal Reserve surprised market watchers in mid-September by reaffirming its stimulative monetary policy, citing slow progress in the economic recovery.

Monday, September 16th, 2013

Expansion continues, but stagnating personal incomes pose a threat to long-term growth.

Monday, August 26th, 2013

Despite the impact of reduced public spending, the recovery remains intact.

Monday, July 22nd, 2013

Although the economic expansion has slowed, both consumers and producers remain optimistic. In the short run, this optimism means the expansion will continue. It is likely to strengthen later in the year as consumer demand buoys economic activity. 

Monday, June 17th, 2013

The Fed’s latest round of asset purchases was designed to bolster the recovery. It also created a scenario where unwinding could be politically difficult. 

Wednesday, May 1st, 2013

Business Cycle Conditions

May, 2013

by Zinnia Mukherjee

There is a long path ahead. Even today’s healthy economy contains reason for caution. But progress in the housing market is steady.

Monday, April 1st, 2013

Business Cycle Conditions

April 2013

by Steven R. Cunningham and Zinnia Mukherjee

Tuesday, March 5th, 2013
From Azizonomics...Paul Krugman just did something mind-bending.
Friday, March 1st, 2013

Business Cycle Conditions

Vol II, no. 3 | March, 2013

by Polina Vlasenko, PhD

Monday, February 18th, 2013
by Steve Forbes This year marks the 100th anniversary of the federal income tax (February) and the Federal Reserve System (December), both of which today are doing immeasurable harm. And, thankfully, both will be undergoing enormous changes.
Friday, February 1st, 2013

Business Cycle Conditions

Vol. II, no. 2 | February 13, 2013

It may seem sluggish compared to the recent past, but economic growth is right on trend.

by POlina Vlasenko, PhD, Research Fellow

Wednesday, January 16th, 2013
In this piece, Mark Thornton tries to solve the riddle:  "Where is the Inflation?" by Mark Thornton