– January 19, 2011

February 2010: Percent of Leaders Expanding Increases to 91; Cyclical Score of Leaders Increases to 63
The economy is showing signs of life, but a jumble of government proposals could thwart the recovery.

The economy began showing signs of improvement in August, when AIER’s 12 primary leading indicators first posted widespread increases. This month, the primary roughly coincident indicators are also finally showing new life. A turnaround in the business cycle is either imminent or underway.