Drop in Small-Business Optimism Reflects Renewed Uncertainty

– August 11, 2020

Small-business confidence fell in July as rising COVID-19 cases, political turmoil, and persistent consumer apprehension smother hopes for a rapid rebound.

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Payrolls Grew By 1.8 Million in July But the Pace of Recovery Slowed, Raising Concerns

– August 7, 2020

Nine million private U.S. jobs have been recovered over the last three months, less than half the 21 million lost during government shutdowns; the outlook remains extremely uncertain.

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Positive Signs for the Manufacturing Sector but Employment Remains Weak

– August 3, 2020

The ISM Manufacturing survey showed another gain in July as orders and production expanded but the survey suggests labor dynamics remain weak.

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Initial Claims for Unemployment Benefits Suggest Labor Market Recovery is Faltering

– July 30, 2020

Initial claims for unemployment benefits rose again, suggesting the emerging recovery may be at risk.

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U.S. Economy Posts Record Decline During Lockdowns

– July 30, 2020

The U.S. economy suffered a historic contraction in the second quarter. Uncertainty, confusion, and risk aversion among consumers and businesses may put the recovery at risk.

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Reopening Boosts Consumer Optimism, But COVID Dampens the Outlook

– July 28, 2020

Consumer attitudes declined in July as resurging COVID-19 cases dampened the outlook more than reopening boosted views of current conditions.

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New Durable-Goods Orders Rise Again in June

– July 27, 2020

Manufacturers’ new orders for durable goods rose again in June, showing that easing government restrictions should lead to economic recovery, but resurging COVID-19 increases risks.

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New Home Sales Jump to the Highest Level Since 2007

– July 24, 2020

Sales of new single-family homes rose to a 12-year high as low mortgage rates support increased demand.

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Initial Claims for Unemployment Benefits Rise as Continuing Claims Fall

– July 23, 2020

Labor market indicators are becoming mixed, suggesting the emerging recovery may be at risk.

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Existing-Home Sales Rebound in June; Inventory Remains Tight

– July 22, 2020

Existing-home sales rebounded in June, but the outlook remains highly uncertain.

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Initial Claims for Unemployment Benefits Shrank Again but Remain High

– July 16, 2020

New unemployment claims slowed again but remain high. Other labor market data as well as broader activity measures look more positive but surging new COVID-19 cases could derail growth.

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Retail Spending Returned to Trend in June

– July 16, 2020

Retail sales posted another big gain in June, further recovering from the policy-induced economic coma but rising new COVID-19 cases are a risk to future growth.

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