Retail sales

Retail Spending Remains Close to Trend in January

– February 14, 2020

Retail sales were solid in January suggesting continued economic expansion remains the most likely path.

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NFIB

Small-Business Optimism Rose in January but the Outlook Is Less Clear

– February 11, 2020

Small-business confidence rose in January; labor shortages and the economic outlook remain concerns.

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Job openings

Job Openings Decline in December, Continuing Downward Trend

– February 11, 2020

Private-sector job openings have fallen recently hinting at some marginal easing of labor pressures.

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Employment report

Employment and the Participation Rate Rose in January

– February 7, 2020

U.S. payrolls rose by 225,000 in January with both the unemployment rate and participation rate ticking up; however, significant risks remain.

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ISM NMI

ISM Surveys Show Improvement in January

– February 5, 2020

The nonmanufacturing sector expanded in January, complementing the improved results from the manufacturing survey.

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Auto sales

Auto Sales Rebound in January

– February 5, 2020

Auto sales rose in January and remain well within the range extending back to 2000. The healthy pace is a positive sign for consumer spending.

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ISM PMI

Hints of Improvement for Manufacturing

– February 4, 2020

The ISM PMI showed clear improvement in January hinting at a possible turnaround for manufacturing in coming months.

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GDP

Output Growth Holds Steady but Details Look Soft

– January 30, 2020

Real gross domestic product rose at a 2.1 percent annualized rate in the fourth quarter. Details show that persistent economic growth remains dependent on consumers.

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Existing home sales

New- and Existing-Home Sales Diverge in December

– January 27, 2020

New-home sales fell in December while inventory rose. Stronger sales will help avoid cutbacks to future construction.

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Existing home sales

Existing-Home Sales Rose in December But Inventory Remains Tight

– January 22, 2020

Existing-home sales have recovered from a recent dip but are unlikely to move significantly higher in coming months and quarters.

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Retail Sales

Broad-based Gains for Retail Sales in December

– January 16, 2020

Retail-sales and initial-claims data indicate consumer spending is rising, supported by a robust labor market.

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Employment report

December Jobs Gains Disappoint, Suggest Slow Growth

– January 10, 2020

A disappointing December jobs report suggests slow growth for consumer spending and the overall economy.

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