Bear Bull Markets

January Business Conditions Monthly

– January 17, 2019

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index fell 21 points to 58 in December. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 100 while the Lagging Indicators index gained 16 points to reach 83 (see chart). The sharp decline in the Leadin …

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December Business Conditions Monthly

– December 18, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back in November, dropping to 79 following an 83 in October and 88 in September. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index increased, moving back to 100, while the Lagging Indicators index …

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November Business Conditions Monthly

– November 16, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back in October, dropping to 83 following an 88 in September. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index dropped to 92 while the Lagging Indicators index held steady, posting an 83 (see char …

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October Business Conditions Monthly

– October 12, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index improved in September, hitting 88 following 83 in August. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at a perfect 100 reading while the Lagging Indicators index also held steady, posting an 83 …

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September Business Conditions Monthly

– September 14, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index rebounded in the latest month, registering an 83 in August. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 100 while the Lagging Indicators index also held steady, posting an 83 (see chart belo …

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August Business Conditions Monthly

– August 20, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index eased back in July, registering a 79 following a 92. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index returned to a perfect 100 reading while the Lagging Indicators index fell to 83 (see chart below). De …

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July Business Conditions Monthly

– July 12, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators eased back in June, registering a 92 following three straight 100s. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index also registered a 92 following three consecutive perfect 100s. The Lagging Indicators index …

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June Business Conditions Monthly

– June 14, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index posted its third-straight 100 in May as all 12 individual indicators continue to expand. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index also registered its third consecutive perfect 100 and its 12th 10 …

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May Business Conditions Monthly

– May 11, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index posted its second straight 100 in April as all 12 individual indicators continue to expand. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index also registered its second consecutive perfect 100 and its 11t …

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April Business Conditions Monthly

– April 12, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index reached a perfect 100 reading in March after coming in at 92 in February. The March result is the first 100 since January 2014. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index also registered a perfect …

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Durable-Goods Orders Rebound in February, Maintain Upward Trend

– March 23, 2018

New orders for durable goods rose 3.1 percent in February to $247.7 billion. Over the past 12 months, total durable-goods orders are up 8.9 percent, and since hitting a recent low of $211.5 billion in June 2016, the gain is 17.1 percent.

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March Business Conditions Monthly

– March 16, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index rose to a reading of 92 in February returning the index to the three-year high recorded for November and December. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 92 for a second month, while th …

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