January BCM

January 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

– January 16, 2020

The AIER Leading Indicators index gave back the small gain from November, leaving the index just slightly above neutral for the fifth consecutive month.

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AIER Leading Indicators Index

December Business Conditions Monthly

– December 12, 2019

The AIER Leading Indicators index posted a small gain in November but remains close to neutral, supporting a cautious outlook.

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Business Conditions Monthly

November Business Conditions Monthly

– November 14, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index held steady in October, remaining slightly above neutral. Slow growth continues as economy remains vulnerable.

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Economic risks rising

October Business Conditions Monthly

– October 17, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index fell in September but remains slightly above neutral. Risks to the economy are rising.

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September Business Conditions Monthly

– September 12, 2019

AIER’s leading indicators index rose in August, moving slightly above neutral; consumers remain key.

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emptyfactory

August Business Conditions Monthly

– August 15, 2019

AIER’s leading indicators fell back below neutral in July; second-quarter GDP posted a modest gain, but details look solid. AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back slightly in July, dropping to 46 following neutral 50 read …

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consumerspending

July Business Conditions Monthly

– July 12, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index was unchanged in June, holding at the neutral reading of 50. The Lagging Indicators index was also unchanged in the latest month, repeating the May result of 42. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index fell for a second …

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slowprogress

June Business Conditions Monthly

– June 14, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index rose 12 points to a neutral reading of 50 in May, up from 38 in April. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index both fell, to 75 and 42, respectively (see chart). May is the second consecu …

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Pendulum-Hypnosis-Swing-Clock-Commute-Pocket-Watch-4041584

May Business Conditions Monthly

– May 9, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index rose 13 points to 38 in April, up from 25 in March. March’s result was the lowest since June 2009. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index both held steady, at 83 and 67, respectively (se …

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watchingmarkets

April Business Conditions Monthly

– April 16, 2019

AIER’s Leading Indicators index dropped 17 points to 25 in March, the lowest level since June 2009. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index also fell, to 83 and 67, respectively (see chart). March is the third consecuti …

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March Business Conditions Monthly

– March 14, 2019

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index held steady at 42 in February while the Roughly Coincident Indicators index and the Lagging Indicators index were also unchanged, at 92 and 75, respectively (see chart). Despite having the Leadi …

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LIST_VIEW_258292643

February Business Conditions Monthly

– February 14, 2019

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index fell 16 points to 42 in January. The result was the first reading below 50 since August 2016. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index fell to 92 while the Lagging Indicators index dropped to 75 …

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