Bear Bull Markets

January Business Conditions Monthly

– January 17, 2019

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index fell 21 points to 58 in December. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 100 while the Lagging Indicators index gained 16 points to reach 83 (see chart). The sharp decline in the Leadin …

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Everyday Prices Plunge Again in December

– January 11, 2019

AIER’s Everyday Price Index plunged 0.9 percent in December after dropping 1.0 percent in November. Over the past six months, the EPI has fallen four times at an overall annualized pace of −4.1 percent. The EPI measures price changes people see in ever …

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What Clemency for Cyntoia Brown Means for Other Victims Of Child Abuse

– January 9, 2019

The fact that Brown was convicted before juvenile sentencing guidelines in Tennessee changed made her case even more heartbreaking. After all, Brown wouldn’t have been tried the same way under the current system.  

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December Business Conditions Monthly

– December 18, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back in November, dropping to 79 following an 83 in October and 88 in September. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index increased, moving back to 100, while the Lagging Indicators index …

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Everyday Prices Plunge In November

– December 12, 2018

AIER’s Everyday Price Index plunged 1.0 percent in November after falling 0.1 percent in October. Over the past five months, the EPI has fallen three times for an annualized pace of −2.7 percent. The EPI measures price changes people see in everyday pu …

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Everyday Prices Fall for the Second Time in Four Months

– November 14, 2018

AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.1 percent in October after being unchanged in September. Over the past four months, the EPI has fallen 0.1 percent in two (October and July) and been unchanged in two (August and September). The EPI measures price cha …

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October Business Conditions Monthly

– October 12, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index improved in September, hitting 88 following 83 in August. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at a perfect 100 reading while the Lagging Indicators index also held steady, posting an 83 …

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Everyday Prices Unchanged for the Second Month in a Row

– October 11, 2018

AIER’s Everyday Price Index was unchanged for the second month in a row in September. The EPI measures price changes people see in everyday purchases such as groceries, restaurant meals, gasoline, and utilities. It excludes prices of infrequently purch …

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September Business Conditions Monthly

– September 14, 2018

AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index rebounded in the latest month, registering an 83 in August. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index held at 100 while the Lagging Indicators index also held steady, posting an 83 (see chart belo …

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Everyday Prices Unchanged in August as the CPI Increases 0.1 Percent

– September 13, 2018

AIER’s Everyday Price Index was unchanged in August, compared to a 0.1 percent gain in the Consumer Price Index. The EPI is not seasonally adjusted, so we compare it with the unadjusted CPI. Over the past 12 months, the EPI has risen 3.3 percent while …

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