Pertinent Category: Research

Everyday Price Index

Everyday Prices Rise for a Third Month Led by Gas and Phone Service

Robert Hughes

– August 12, 2020

AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.5 percent in July, pushed higher by gas and wireless phone services.

Business Conditions

AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Takes A Small Step Up in July

Robert Hughes

– August 7, 2020

AIER’s Leading Indicators index increased to 8 in July. The result suggests a rapid recovery is unlikely and that full recovery is likely to be more drawn out, uneven, and uncertain.

Harwood Economic Review

Modeling and Its Failures Issue

AIER Staff

Alexander William Salter

– July 15, 2020

Harwood Economic Review Summer 2020 – Modeling and its Failures

Everyday Price Index

Everyday Prices Surge on Food and Energy Gains in June

Robert Hughes

– July 14, 2020

AIER’s Everyday Price Index jumped 1.2 percent in June, pushed higher by food and energy, the largest components in the index.

Business Conditions

AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators Indexes Remain at 0 in June.

Robert Hughes

– July 9, 2020

While signs of rebound in some measures of economic activity have started to emerge, reinstatement of lockdown restrictions could smother the nascent recovery.

Everyday Price Index

Lockdowns Drive Up Everyday Prices in May

Robert Hughes

– June 10, 2020

AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.3 percent in May, pushed higher by groceries, alcohol, and take-out.

Business Conditions

Hitting Bottom: AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators Indexes Drop to 0

Robert Hughes

– June 8, 2020

Despite the widespread devastation to the economy, there are a few statistics showing signs of modest rebounds, supported by the easing of restrictions placed on people and businesses.

Crisis, International

The Grim Future of Latin America After the Pandemic Outbreak

Nicolás Cachanosky

– May 21, 2020

“Latin American leaders seem at least as likely to bolster their own power, while repressing basic liberties, as they are to mitigate the deleterious effects of the disease.” ~ Nicolas Cachanosky

Everyday Price Index

Everyday Price Index Falls for a Third Month in April

Robert Hughes

– May 12, 2020

AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.7 percent in April, the third consecutive decline, pushing the 12-month change to -1.7 percent.

Business Conditions

May 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

Robert Hughes

– May 11, 2020

AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators indexes drop to 33, reflecting the economic devastation.

Crisis, Harwood Economic Review

COVID-19 Issue

– April 22, 2020

Harwood Economic Review Spring 2020 – COVID-19 Issue

Business Conditions

April 2020 Business Conditions Monthly

Robert Hughes

– April 13, 2020

Despite the continued modestly positive reading for the Leading Indicator index, the U.S. economy likely contracted in March, ending the longest U.S. economic expansion on record.