Pertinent Category: Research

Everyday Prices Rise at the Fastest Annual Pace Since 2011

– June 10, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted a sixth straight monthly increase, reflecting a wide range of materials shortages, logistical, supply chain, and labor problems. As these issues are worked out, price pressures are likely to ease.” – Robert Hughes

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consumeraction

AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Remained Solidly Above Neutral in May

– June 8, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index remained solidly above neutral suggesting continued economic growth, but labor issues, materials shortages, and logistical problems are pressuring prices, drawing increased scrutiny for policymakers.” – Robert Hughes

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Retail sales

Everyday Prices Rise 6.1 Percent from a Year Ago

– May 12, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted the largest yearly rise since 2011. Many prices across the economy are still reflecting distortions from government lockdowns that have caused a wide range of materials shortages, logistical, supply chain, and labor problems. As these issues are worked out, price pressures are likely to ease.” – Robert Hughes

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AIER Leading Indicators Index Suggests Continued Economic Growth

– May 11, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index came in at 88 in April while the Roughly Coincident Indicators index remained at a perfect 100 reading for a second month. The distribution of vaccines and cessation of restrictive government lockdown policies remain the driving force behind the economic recovery. While risks associated with the spread of Covid-19 variants linger, the economic outlook is tilted to the upside. Other risks in the short term include shortages of materials, rising prices, and lingering logistical issues.” – Robert Hughes

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Energy Price Surge Continues to Drive Everyday Prices Higher

– April 13, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index jumped 1.2 percent in March as energy prices surged for a third consecutive month.” – Robert Hughes

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AIER Leading Indicators Index Hits Highest Level Since 2018

– April 12, 2021

“The AIER Leading Indicators index rose to 92 in March, the highest since 2018, as declining government restrictions boost current economic activity and the outlook for future growth.” – Robert Hughes

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AIER Leading Indicators Index Moves Higher in February

– March 10, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index rose in February, hitting the highest level since 2018, suggesting broadening activity and continued economic expansion.” – Robert Hughes

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Energy Price Jump Leads Broad-based Increase in Everyday Prices

– March 10, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index jumped 0.8 percent in February, led by increases in the volatile energy category.” – Robert Hughes

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The Great Reopening

The Great Reopening

– March 5, 2021

“Please do not give up hope. In the Spring of last year, all seemed lost. As the Spring comes again, we are again reminded that history is nothing more than what we make of it. We are not its victims but its authors. Freedom will return!” ~ Edward Peter Stringham

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Politicians Turn Problems Into Power

– March 5, 2021

“Politicians make grandiose claims about their various and sundry programs because those claims resonate with the people who receive government largesse. In the end, people receive pennies on the dollar compared to what they could have received had we decided just to write a check. Our government has become a tool that politicians use to turn national problems into political power, so it should come as no surprise that they are not interested in solving problems at all.” ~ Antony Davies & James R. Harrigan

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Crude Oil Surge Drives Everyday Prices Higher in January

– February 10, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index jumped 0.8 percent in January, pushed higher primarily by gasoline following the recent surge in crude oil prices.” – Robert Hughes

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AIER Business Cycle Indicators Were Little Changed in January

– February 10, 2021

“AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions indexes were little changed in January, holding solidly above the neutral threshold of 50, suggesting continued economic expansion ahead.” – Robert Hughes

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