Everyday Price Index Rises at a Slower Pace in August

– September 14, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted a slower gain in August but is still up 6.8 percent from a year ago. Prices of many goods and services continue to be distorted by the lingering effects of the pandemic and government shutdowns. As these distortions fade, price pressures are likely to ease.” – Robert Hughes

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AIER Leading Indicators Drop Sharply but Remain Above Neutral

– September 13, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index posted a sharp decline in August, falling to 58. Five consecutive pullbacks suggest that breadth of growth is likely to narrow in the future. Furthermore, resurging Covid is impacting consumers and threatening the outlook. Caution is warranted.” – Robert Hughes

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Is Inflation Back?

Gold will return to monetary preeminence not because it can or should, but because it must. Nixon’s temporary suspension will be exactly that; not because he said so, but rather because at some point there will be no other road forward.

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AIER Leading Indicators Index Suggests Continued Growth as Risks Grow

– August 12, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index posted a fourth consecutive small decline in July, falling to 75. While the pullbacks suggest that breadth of growth could narrow in the future, the July result remains at a level consistent with continued economic expansion in coming months, but the threats to future growth may be growing.” – Robert Hughes

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Everyday Price Index Outpaces the CPI in July

– August 11, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose again, led by food and energy. Prices for many goods and services are still distorted by the lingering effects of government shutdowns. As these distortions fade, price pressures are likely to ease.” – Robert Hughes

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AIER Leading Indicators Index Suggests Continuing Economic Expansion

– July 14, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index remained solidly above neutral in June, suggesting continued economic growth. However, labor issues, materials shortages, and logistical problems are restraining the recovery in output and putting upward pressure on prices. While the outlook remains positive, the emergence of the Delta variant increases uncertainty.” – Robert Hughes

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Everyday Prices Continued to Surge in June

– July 13, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted a seventh straight monthly increase, reflecting a wide range of lingering fallout from government lockdowns. As these issues are worked out, price pressures are likely to ease.” – Robert Hughes

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Special Issue on China

“The United States and China are beginning to compete more closely all around the world, and collisions of interest are occurring more frequently. This issue is dedicated to US-China topics.” ~AIER

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Everyday Prices Rise at the Fastest Annual Pace Since 2011

– June 10, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted a sixth straight monthly increase, reflecting a wide range of materials shortages, logistical, supply chain, and labor problems. As these issues are worked out, price pressures are likely to ease.” – Robert Hughes

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consumeraction

AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Remained Solidly Above Neutral in May

– June 8, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index remained solidly above neutral suggesting continued economic growth, but labor issues, materials shortages, and logistical problems are pressuring prices, drawing increased scrutiny for policymakers.” – Robert Hughes

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Retail sales

Everyday Prices Rise 6.1 Percent from a Year Ago

– May 12, 2021

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted the largest yearly rise since 2011. Many prices across the economy are still reflecting distortions from government lockdowns that have caused a wide range of materials shortages, logistical, supply chain, and labor problems. As these issues are worked out, price pressures are likely to ease.” – Robert Hughes

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AIER Leading Indicators Index Suggests Continued Economic Growth

– May 11, 2021

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index came in at 88 in April while the Roughly Coincident Indicators index remained at a perfect 100 reading for a second month. The distribution of vaccines and cessation of restrictive government lockdown policies remain the driving force behind the economic recovery. While risks associated with the spread of Covid-19 variants linger, the economic outlook is tilted to the upside. Other risks in the short term include shortages of materials, rising prices, and lingering logistical issues.” – Robert Hughes

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