AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Surges in September as Recovery Broadens
“AIER’s Leading Indicators index rose sharply in September, jumping to 67, suggesting the recovery has broadened substantially and may signal the end of the recession.” – Robert Hughes
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Transportation Drives Prices in September
“AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.2 percent in September on a snapback in intracity transportation. Distortions to prices and economic activity continue under lockdown policies.” – Robert Hughes
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Education Issue
The Harwood Economic Review for Fall of 2020. Education during a pandemic.
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Everyday Prices Pushed Higher by Phone Service and Restaurants
AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.1 percent in August as distortions to the economy from lockdowns and other restrictions impacted prices.
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AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Improves in August but Remains Well Below Neutral
The AIER Business Cycle Conditions indexes remained well below neutral in August, suggesting a rapid recovery is unlikely and that full recovery may be more drawn out, uneven, and uncertain.
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Everyday Prices Rise for a Third Month Led by Gas and Phone Service
AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.5 percent in July, pushed higher by gas and wireless phone services.
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AIER’s Leading Indicators Index Takes A Small Step Up in July
AIER’s Leading Indicators index increased to 8 in July. The result suggests a rapid recovery is unlikely and that full recovery is likely to be more drawn out, uneven, and uncertain.
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Modeling and Its Failures Issue
Harwood Economic Review Summer 2020 Table of Contents That’s One Way to End a LockdownAIER Staff SimCity-Style Modeling Flunks the Real-World TestPhillip W. Magness How Wrong Were the Models and Why?Phillip W. Magness Delayed Medical Procedures: Storie …
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Everyday Prices Surge on Food and Energy Gains in June
AIER’s Everyday Price Index jumped 1.2 percent in June, pushed higher by food and energy, the largest components in the index.
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AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators Indexes Remain at 0 in June.
While signs of rebound in some measures of economic activity have started to emerge, reinstatement of lockdown restrictions could smother the nascent recovery.
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Lockdowns Drive Up Everyday Prices in May
AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.3 percent in May, pushed higher by groceries, alcohol, and take-out.
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Hitting Bottom: AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators Indexes Drop to 0
Despite the widespread devastation to the economy, there are a few statistics showing signs of modest rebounds, supported by the easing of restrictions placed on people and businesses.
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