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“What’s Wrong with Fed Policy?”
“Investor reaction to Ben Bernanke’s apparent focus on price indices — jumping into the stock market when he hints that he may not raise rates, and jumping out when they suspect he will — is understandable. These reactions do not imply that investors prefer inflation, but rather that they expect the Fed may be overshooting […]
READ MORE“The Fed Is All Wrong About Inflation”
“To summarize: government programs to support housing have depressed rental prices, which is making core inflation artificially low. And since the Fed uses core CPI as one of its primary inflation gauges, Bianco says the central bank is lulling itself into a false sense of security about inflation.” Read more. “The Fed Is All Wrong […]
READ MORE“The U.S. Dollar and Prosperity: Accidents Waiting to Happen”
“A lasting solution would be to recognize explicitly that market prices, reflected in the yield curve and gold price have been the most reliable signals of the global demand for dollar liquidity. The daily correlation between gold and the dollar has been in the −0.9 range over extended periods, whereas the correlation coefficient for the […]
READ MORE“Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle”
“From my view, I would welcome the day when the topic of this conference—”Money, Politics, and the Business Cycle”—would become obsolete. Not because there is no relation between money, politics, and the business cycle; there is. But I would welcome the day when we quit trying to use monetary policy to fine tune the economy […]
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