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Robert Hughes

Private-Sector Job Openings Fell Slightly in January but Remain Near the Record High

“Job openings and quits fell but both remained near record levels in January. Labor difficulties, material shortages, and logistical issues as well as high inflation, an impending Fed tightening cycle, and global political and economic turmoil are threatening the U.S. economy.” ~ Robert Hughes

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Thomas L. Hogan

Stages of Quantitative Tightening

“There are several steps to go before the Federal Reserve starts selling assets to reduce the size of its balance sheet. That type of active tightening will probably not begin for a while.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan

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Garret Edwards

If Bernard Mandeville Is Larry David, Jerry Seinfeld Is Adam Smith

“The relationship between Seinfeld and David has received more ink and attention than the one between Mandeville and Smith. That said, we would not have had a ‘Seinfeld’ without a Larry David. Would we have had a Smith without a Mandeville?” ~ Garret Edwards

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Michael Munger

All Housing is Affordable Housing

“If developers build cheap housing, the price of all housing except the very most luxurious will fall. Alternatively, if we build more luxury housing, then the price of all housing will fall, as there will be less pressure for gentrification or ‘teardowns.’” ~ Michael Munger

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Robert Hughes

AIER Leading Indicators Index Posts Sudden Drop, Risks Rise

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index dropped to 46 in February. Disruptions to labor supply, shortages of materials, and logistics bottlenecks continue to pressure prices. Falling new Covid cases had the potential to support businesses’ efforts to expand production, but turmoil surrounding the Russian invasion of Ukraine has launched a new wave of disruptions. The outlook has become highly uncertain and extreme caution is warranted.” ~ Robert Hughes

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