Daily economy news from the American Institute for Economic Research: data, stories, research, and articles touching on economics, politics, culture, education, policy, opinion, technology, markets, healthcare, regulation, trends, and much more.

Which Economists Should Have Gotten Nobels Before They Died?

– May 15, 2022

“None of them won the profession’s ultimate honor, however, even though all were deserving. As more and more deserving economists move into their 70s, 80s, and 90s, I can only hope this list doesn’t get longer.” ~ Art Carden

Book Review: Peter Ward’s ‘The Price of Immortality’

– May 15, 2022

“The Price of Immortality is in so many ways a deceptive title. Peter Ward’s readers deserve better, his subject deserves much better, plus the publisher should respect his readers more.” ~ John Tamny

A Drinking Man’s Guide to Monetary Policy

– May 14, 2022

“Just like drinking, expansionary monetary policy can provide a temporary (or transitory) high at first (faster real output growth and reduced unemployment). However, the ill effects come later (in an inflation “hangover”).” ~ Gary M. Galles

As the World Gets Messier and Messier

– May 14, 2022

“Fukuyama made the philosophy of history relevant again. Thirty years on, is that philosophy vindicated? What moves and shakes the world?” ~ Graham McAleer

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Inflation Fears Send Consumer Sentiment Sharply Lower in Early May

– May 13, 2022

“Consumer sentiment sank in early May and is consistent with prior recessions. Inflation is a driver of weakening consumer attitudes and contributing to elevated risks. The outlook is highly uncertain.” ~ Robert Hughes

Rent Selling Countries are More Corrupt and Less Wealthy

– May 13, 2022

“The real cronies are those who demand and supply interventionism. Despite their claims, they can’t get money out of politics, or reduce corruption, because they’re so eager to inject politics into money-making.” ~ Richard M. Salsman

Rescuing “Virtue and Talents” Amidst the War on Tests

– May 13, 2022

“Perhaps the solution to our current quagmire has been hidden in plain sight the whole time—embrace standards and return to merit-based admissions. MIT gets it and more should follow.” ~ Wenyuan Wu

The Federal Reserve’s Moving Target

– May 13, 2022

“If persistent deviations from the Federal Reserve’s target can be costly in terms of resource misallocation, imagine the costs associated with simultaneous fluctuations in both inflation and its target for inflation.” ~ Joshua Hendrickson

Hatred Will Destroy You: What the Holodomor Teaches Us Today

– May 12, 2022

“When any person harbors hatred, their own humanity is destroyed. In Grossman’s words, ‘looking at his victim as other than human, he ceases to be human himself. He executes the human being inside his own self; he is his own executioner.’” ~ Barry Brownstein

Weekly Initial Claims Have Started to Trend Higher but Remain Below the Pre-Pandemic Level

– May 12, 2022

“Weekly initial claims have trended slightly higher recently but continue to suggest a very tight labor market. The Russian invasion of Ukraine, renewed lockdowns in China, sustained elevated price increases, and a new Fed tightening cycle remain risks to the outlook.” ~ Robert Hughes

Can We Revive the Old Constitution?

– May 12, 2022

“The New Deal constructed numerous federal departments and agencies to regulate the private sector for general, nebulous ends. In effect, we received a new constitution.” ~ Richard M. Reinsch II

AIER Leading Indicators Index Dips Back Below Neutral

– May 12, 2022

“AIER’s Leading Indicators Index fell eight points to a below-neutral 46 in April. Rising prices, a new Fed tightening cycle, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and new lockdowns in China are risks to the economic outlook. Caution is warranted.” ~ Robert Hughes

When Should the Federal Reserve Have Moved on Inflation?

– May 12, 2022

“Last month, I joined Caleb Brown on the Cato Daily Podcast. We discussed how inflation—and our understanding of inflation—evolved over the last year, when the Fed should have moved on inflation, and how much grace the Fed deserves when we evaluate its monumental miss.” ~ William J. Luther

Operation Climate-Change Choke Point

– May 11, 2022

“The Fed—an institution that, time and again, has proven that it cannot forecast the inflation rate or GDP growth over the next three months let alone years into the future—gets to decide what level of individual bank losses are ‘accurate’ in these hypothetical climate apocalypse scenarios.” ~ Paul H. Kupiec

Food Prices Send AIER’s Everyday Price Index Up 0.5 Percent in April

– May 11, 2022

“AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose again in April led by food prices. Sustained price pressures, a new Fed tightening cycle, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and lockdowns in China are threats to the economic outlook.” ~ Robert Hughes

Twitter: The Tale of the Tape

– May 11, 2022

“These times of polarization pose real challenges to mass marketers. Companies such as Twitter and Disney offend the sensibilities of the mass market at their own peril. And their recent stock prices suggest they could do better.” ~ Clifford F. Thies

Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids: The Case for Compromise

– May 11, 2022

“Perhaps it’s time for CTFK to return to the negotiating table to reduce the number of people who smoke by guaranteeing adults access to safer tobacco alternatives, including flavored vapor products.” ~ Kim Murray

This Tweet Contains Speech. Click Here to Learn More.

– May 10, 2022

“Twitter users who have grown accustomed to surrendering their critical thinking to warning labels placed on others’ Tweets may need a period of adjustment. A new batch of pro-free-speech labels might just do the trick.” ~ Jon Sanders