Daily economy news from the American Institute for Economic Research: data, stories, research, and articles touching on economics, politics, culture, education, policy, opinion, technology, markets, healthcare, regulation, trends, and much more.
“Capitalism Needs a Sound-Money Foundation”
“Let’s go back to the gold standard. If the very idea seems at odds with what is currently happening in our country — with Congress preparing to pass a massive economic stimulus bill that will push the fiscal deficit to
Murray N. Rothbard and Jacksonian Banking
Murray N. Rothbard was the consummate scholar in several fields. From my first meeting with Murray Rothbard, attending Ludwig von Mises seminar at New York University, more than forty years before the sadness of his death, I knew him longest as an economic historian.
“The Fed and the Crisis: A Reply to Ben Bernanke”
“Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke spent most of his speech to the American Economic Association on Jan. 3 responding to the critique that easy monetary policy during 2002-2005 contributed to the housing boom, to excessive risk taking, and thereby
“The Roaring Twenties and the Bullish Eighties”
“There are significant parallels between the Roaring 1920s and the Bullish 1980s. Both decades were characterized by a policy-induced artificial boom that ended with an inevitable bust. The Federal Reserve had a hand in both episodes, keeping the interest rate
How the Gold Standard Worked, 1880-1913
“This essay reinterprets the gold standard by applying the monetary theory of the balance of payments to the experience of the two most important countries on it, America and Britain. Before explaining, testing and using the theory in detail, it
“Sound Money the Safeguard of Labor”
“This government is now on a gold basis; that is to say, the nation stands pledged to redeem all its debts or obligations in gold. This is not the result of arbitrary legislation on our part, but a necessity imposed
“Capital Theory, Inflation, and Deflation: The Austrians and Monetary Disequilibrium Theory Compared”
“It can be argued that two apparently divergent macroeconomic schools of thought that have persisted in the history of economics are both part of a larger theoretical view which is capable of meeting most of these criteria. The Austrian theory
“Another Perspective on the Effects of Inflation Uncertainty”
This paper examines the effects of inflation uncertainty on real economic activityb y utilizing a flexible, dynamic,m ultivariatef rameworkt hata ccom-modates possible interaction between the conditional means and variances. The empirical model is based on a familiar identified vector autoregressive
“The Cost of Inflation Revisited”
“Neoclassical treatments of inflation understate the costs associated with inflation, even at very low levels. A comparative institutions perspective that recognizes the epistemological properties of prices and the institutional process by which inflation takes place, reveals the costs of inflation
“Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation and Money”
“There is much evidence that common stock returns and inflation have been negatively related during the post-1953 period. Zvi Body, Jeffrey Jaffe and Gershon Mandelker, Charles Nelson, and my article with G. William Schwert document negative relations between between stock
Meltdown
“President Obama rammed through his new stimulus bill, warning of an irreversible recession if Congress failed to act. But bestselling author Thomas E. Woods Jr. warns that Obama’s “stimulus package” will do far more damage to our economy than even
“No More Central Banks”
“Currency crises have become more and more frequent in part because speculators can mobilize more and more money. A generation ago, central banks, like the U.S. Federal Reserve System, had more money than anyone else and weren’t afraid to use
Bernanke is Time’s Person of the Year
Bernanke is Time’s Person of the Year Steve Horwitz The Austrian Economists
Ron Paul: The People’s Champion
Ron Paul talks inflation and economics with CNN.
Without Sound Money, Markets Fail
“Nobel Economics Laureate F.A. Hayek summed up the enigma of money succinctly: “Money, the very “coin” of ordinary interaction, is [hence] of all things the least understood and—perhaps with sex—the object of greatest unreasoning fantasy; and like sex it simultaneously
“Gold Standard Policy and Limited Government”
Are monetary and banking problems due to a few misguided policies or incompetent managers? Or are there fundamental flaws in monetary and financial institutions, principally central banks and the legal and monetary frameworks that accompany them? “Gold Standard Policy and
“A Match Can Cause a Forest Fire: A Response to Brad DeLong”
“My essay on causes of the financial mess focused on trying to identify the initial “impulses” that set the boom-bust cycle in motion because (as this symposium shows) economists have a variety of views about the impulses, and because identifying
“What Really Happened”
“Our ongoing financial turmoil began in the mortgage market. Real-estate loans at commercial banks grew at a remarkable 12.26 percent compound annual rate over the four-year period from the midpoint of 2003 to the midpoint of 2007.[1] The expanded volume
The Religious Idiocy of ‘Limitarianism’
“To pretend that you can have all the riches of the modern world and eliminate the ability for anyone to become wealthy is a sure sign of someone who has no understanding of how all this wealth was generated in the first place.” ~James Hartley
Mexico’s Slow-Motion Disaster
“The institutional and social checks on majoritarian power are eliminated creating an opportunity for dictatorship, and lifetime rule and enrichment through graft.” ~G. Patrick Lynch
Harwood Economic Review Dispelling Economic Myths
Economic misconceptions persist due to misguided intuitions that overlook complex factors, a preference for principles over outcomes, the influence of epistemic bubbles, and political tribalism. Despite frequent refutation flawed ideas endure, requiring constant vigilance from economists. Harwood Economic Review Table
Supermarket Merger Muddle
“Traditional supermarkets have been losing a great deal of market share to those excluded from that definition.” ~Gary Galles
CBDCs Undermine Financial Privacy
“Financial privacy is very important for a free society. What we do reveals much more about who we are than what we say.” ~William J. Luther
How to Make Social Security Reform a Winning Campaign Issue
“Price indexing will remove about 80 percent of the unfunded liability gap over the next 75 years, if instituted in 2029.” ~David Rose
Resolutions for the Fiscal New Year
“Many lawmakers in DC make resolutions to be more fiscally responsible, but much like our New Year’s resolutions, they rarely follow through.” ~Thomas Savidge
‘You Can Trust Me’: Catfishers, Nigerian Princes, and Political Hucksters
“Individuals who we don’t know and who don’t know us seek to gain our trust so that they can then gain open-ended access to our wealth.” ~Don Boudreaux
Stay Put or Pay Up: Why Can’t Your Mortgage Move With You?
“Once ‘locked in,’ a comparatively low mortgage rate functions as an emotional and economic anchor.” ~Laura Williams
Spreading Democracy May Not Be in the United States’ Best Interest
“Not only is forced democratization likely to fail, but the very idea runs counter to a free, open, democratic society. Other countries should be encouraged to become democratic if they choose.” ~Andrew Byer
Why the ‘New Yorker’ Got Fooled by Taxpayer-Funded Sex Changes for Prisoners
“Dollars allocated for gender reassignment surgeries cannot be spent on food stamps, border security, or anything else.” ~Jon Miltimore
Inflation Remained Below Target in August
“More cuts are projected for 2025, but not enough to return the stance of monetary policy to neutral.” ~William J. Luther
Will the Fed Repeat 1970s Policy Mistakes?
“Without structural reforms, inflation will continue to threaten the purchasing power of Americans.” ~Vance Ginn
Resource Allocation: Why You Can’t ‘Just Ignore the Economists’
“Rather than paying with money, those in search of scarce goods people will pay with their time and effort.” ~David Hebert
The Incoherence of ESG: Why We Should Disaggregate the Environmental, Social, and Governance Label
“Conceptually, no reason exists for why the fundamental ideas within the ESG label should correlate with one another.” ~Paul Mueller
The Greed Theory of Inflation and the Cowardice of Economists
“By the Harris Greed Theory, corporations became increasingly greedy from June 2020 to June of 2022, and then became less greedy over time.” ~David Rose
‘Am I a Racist?’ Packs a Potent Political Punch: Ridicule
“‘Am I a Racist?’ isn’t just brilliant. It’s funny — and that’s more important.” ~Jon Miltimore
Wealth Inequality Is a Result of Prosperity
“Wealth inequality does seem to be growing, but wealth is growing for the bottom 50 percent too, not just the top.” ~Jason Sorens