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Three Common Myths About Money and Inflation
“If we oversimplify inflation, we won’t know how to fight it, or whether we should fight it at all. Political responses to economic turmoil are bad enough without the additional complication of widespread misperceptions amongst the public.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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The Horrors Of A Noninflationary Thanksgiving
“Thanksgiving is arriving against a backdrop of worry and complaints, as CPI inflation is up 6.2% on a year-over-year basis. Monetary policy alchemists are forcing Americans to reconsider long-held traditions this year.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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Consumer Sentiment Fell in Early November as Inflation Fears Grow and Partisan Divides Deepen
“Consumer sentiment fell in early November as consumers react to rising prices for many consumer goods and divisions along political lines regarding economic policies. Both are negative developments for the economic outlook.” ~ Robert Hughes
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What Does ‘Transitory Inflation’ Really Mean?
“Whether the Fed will conduct policy to render the recent episode of inflation transitory in either sense of the term remains to be seen. My view, informed by market expectations, is that the rate of inflation will eventually decline to something in the neighborhood of 2 percent.” ~ William J. Luther
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Inflation and Consumer Welfare: Don’t Forget the Supply Side!
“Let’s keep our eye on the supply side. We should be making every effort, policy-wise, to ease restrictions on production and exchange. That will help both in the short run and the long run.” ~ Alexander W. Salter
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Assessing Market Expectations of Inflation
“Those denying any risk that inflation will remain above target or confidently predicting that 4 percent inflation will be the new normal, are not within the range of reasonable. They are rightly ridiculed.” ~ William J. Luther
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Is Inflation Above the Fed’s Target?
“A credible Fed would anchor expectations to its target growth path. Unfortunately, the Fed has not been credible in the past. That leaves us with a much more difficult question today: what should the Fed do when it hasn’t done what it should have done?” ~ William J. Luther
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Permanent or Transitory Inflation: An Analytical Framework
“Inflation is not a high price level; it is a persistent increase in the price level. Whether inflation persists depends on what Fed officials do next.” ~ Nicolás Cachanosky
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The Great Inflation Debate Is Missing Why Inflation Matters
“The public debate over inflation is a great opportunity to focus on what really matters: subjecting monetary policymakers to the rule of law. Unfortunately, we’re currently squandering that opportunity to repeat pop-macroeconomic fallacies.” ~ Alexander W. Salter
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Is Inflation Back?
Gold will return to monetary preeminence not because it can or should, but because it must. Nixon’s temporary suspension will be exactly that; not because he said so, but rather because at some point there will be no other road forward.
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