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December 2007: Leading Indicators Expanding 38 percent, Cyclical Score 39 PDF Print E-mail

Our leading indicators continue to signal that a recession is likely. GDP increased by a vigorous 4.9 percent in the third quarter, partly due to increased exports, but this is not as reassuring as it might seem. A number of postwar recessions began during or soon after quarters of strong GDP growth.

AIER's Percentage of Leading Indicators Expanding: 38 Percent

Leading Indicators

AIER's Cyclical Score: 39

Cyclical Score

 

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