Sovereign Wealth Funds: Facts, Fantasies, and Reasonable Fears, Part I PDF Print E-mail
Written by Richard M. Ebeling   
Thursday, 04 September 2008 19:00

The era of high commodity prices and large balance of trade surpluses in developing economies such as China and India is changing the global financial landscape. One new and significant feature on this world scene is Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs). These are huge investment funds owned and managed by governments that are buying into or buying up assets in countries around the world, including the United States.

It is estimated that almost $4 trillion are currently held in SWFs, with the amount growing year by year.
 
The is no official definition of Sovereign Wealth Funds. They are usually described as state-owned investment funds containing financial assets in the form of stocks, bonds, property, commodities, and precious metals. They came to peoples’ attention in the United States a couple of years ago when one of these funds, the Dubai Ports World Corporation, attempted to take over operation of a number of American commercial ports. (The company withdrew its bid when Congressional opposition made it clear that any deal might not be allowed to stand.) 

Such government-owned funds are not new, however, The first one was set up by the government of Kuwait in 1952 to invest its excess oil revenues. In Europe, the largest SWF is the Government Pension Fund of Norway, with $396.5 billion. It was set up in 1967 to invest surplus revenues from the North Sea oil fields to cover the expenses of Norway’s social security system.

The state of Alaska has had such a fund since 1976, into which it places 25 percent of the proceeds from oil and gas tax and lease revenues. Alaska’s fund was worth about $40 billion in 2007. Last year,  the state government paid a dividend of more than $1,600 to every eligible state resident.  

SWFs are also owned and operated by the states of New Mexico ($16 billion), Wyoming ($3.9 billion), and Alabama ($3.1 billion). 

What is new is the growth in the number of such funds and the amount of money now at their disposal. Estimates put more than 50 SWFs in more than 35 countries, with 12 of them (almost 25 percent of the total) coming into existence just in the last three years. These 12 originated in either Arab countries, developing countries in Asia (e.g., China) or Russia.

According to the Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute, an industry focused think tank, total assets under the control of all SWFs combined is estimated at more than $3.8 trillion, with more than $2 trillion of this sum coming from oil and gas related revenues.  

 Table 1 lists the largest SWFs in terms of total assets.

Country Fund Name Assets (Billions USD)
UAE - Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Investment Authority $875
Norway Govn't Pension Fund - Global 397
Saudi Arabia SAMA Foreign Holdings 365
Singapore Govn't of Singapore Investment Corp. 330
China SAFE Investment Company 312
     
Kuwait Kuwait Investment Authority 264
China China Investment Corp. 200
China - Hong Kong Hong Kong Monetary Authority Investment Portfolio 173
Russia National Welfare Fund 163
Singapore Temasek 134
     
China National Social Security Fund 74
Qatar Qatar Investment Authority 60
Australia Australia Future Fund 59
Libya Libyan Investment Authority 50
Algeria Revenue Regulation Fund 47
     
UAE - Dubai Investment Corp of Dubai 45
UAE - Dubai Emirates Investment Authority 40
US - Alaska Alaska Permanent Fund 40
Ireland National Pensions Reserve Fund 31
Brunei Brunei Investment Agency 30
     
South Korea Korea Investment Corp. 30
Malaysia Khazanah Nasional 26
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan National Fund 22
Canada Alberta's Heritage Fund 17
US - New Mexico New Mexico State Investment Office Trust 16
     
Chile Social and Economic Stabilization Fund 16
Taiwan National Stabilization Fund 15
New Zealand New Zealand Superannuation Fund 14
Iran Oil Stabilization Fund 13
Nigeria Excess Crude Account 11
     
Bahrain Mumtalakat Holding Company 10
UAE - Abu Dhabi Mubadala Development Company 10
     
Source: Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute, August 2008
 

The monies for SWFs come from two sources. The first is commodity funds representing oil revenue that a government has collected from sales, leases, or taxes, and which it chooses not to use for current budgetary expenditures.

The second source is foreign exchange reserves accumulated by a central bank resulting from balance of payments surpluses. These are usually dollar and euro sums in excess of what that country’s monetary and governmental authorities consider necessary to hold in cash or financially liquid form to meet scheduled foreign debt obligations or for purposes of exchange rate intervention by the country’s central bank.  

Out of the top dozen countries with government investment funds that are primarily commodity based, eight are in the Middle East (Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates) or North Africa (Libya), or former Soviet republics (Russia and Kazakhstan).

The SWFs that are significantly based on excess reserves from balance of payments surpluses are mostly headquartered in countries outside of the Middle East, as shown in Table 2.

Excess Reserves in Emerging Asian and Oil-Exporting Economies
  Reserves 3-Months Imports Short-Term External Debt Excess Reserves
China 1,559 254 231 1,306
Russia 533 70 53 410
Saudi Arabia 276 34 22 242
Taiwan 261 67 26 194
South Korea 244 109 3 135
India 202 72 15 129
Brazil 175 37 66 110
Algeria 99 10 0 90
Libya 79 6 1 73
Singapore 149 85 40 64
Source: European Central Bank Report on The Impact of Sovereign Wealth Funds on Global Financial Markets (July 2008)
Excess reserves equal foreign exchange reserves minus the maximum of three-month import values and total short-term external debt


While the nearly  $4 trillion estimated to be owned and managed by SWFs seems like a large amount, the sum diminishes in weight when compared to the overall international financial market. At the beginning of 2007,  the total size of global capital markets was estimated at around $190 trillion dollars.  

International assets owned or controlled by all governments (foreign exchange reserves, and pension and non-pension funds) numbered about $15 trillion. Various levels of government in the United Stats owned or controlled $3 trillion (or 20 percent) of this total.

Another point of comparison is SWFs relative to the size of other managed funds. 

The chart below shows the value of assets managed by pension funds, mutual funds, insurance funds, SWFs, hedge funds, and private equity funds. SWFs are a distant fourth in comparison to the first three.

Assets Under Management 

The value of total assets under the control of SWFs is less than 5 percent of the total of the three larger managed funds. And SWFs represent only 2 percent of the total value of global capital markets.

Part II of this article will look at the patterns of SWF investments. It will also examine the reasons and rationales behind the negative views that have been articulated in actual or potential recipient nations about the nature and size of these government-owned investment funds.

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