Social Security Paybacks PDF Print E-mail
Written by Pat Norton   
Monday, 02 November 2009 08:20

In a pair of Wall Street Journal articles in mid-2007, Kelly Greene described the advantages of returning the Social Security benefits a person had already received—then reapplying for higher benefits at age 70. Her discussion focused on people who had filed early for benefits, with 62 the earliest possible age to file.

However, a payback strategy also appears advantageous for people who had filed for benefits at “full retirement age,” typically at 65 or 66.

As someone in this latter category, finance professor Neil Holden therefore decided to explore the options and take notes on the process. His experience is described in detail in the current issue of AIER’s Research Reports, dated November 2, 2009.

As background, the longer you wait to claim benefits, the higher your monthly and annual payments will be. Consider the example illustrated on the Social Security Administration website (www.ssa.gov). It refers to people born between 1943 and 1954, many of whom are now retiring early because of the recession. As the chart demonstrates, if a full-retirement benefit equaled $1,000 at age 66, people who filed at 62 would receive only $750, or 25 percent less. This is one example of how waiting to file will provide you with larger monthly and annual benefits, provided you are healthy and can afford it.

How Early or Delayed Retirement Affects Your Social Security Benefit
Click here to enlarge chart.

After the full-retirement age, the gains from waiting to file are even larger. From then until 70, each year of waiting increases benefits by 8 percent. Postponing the filing age from 66 to 67, for example, yields a comparative value of $1,080, or 8 percent more than the $1,000 base amount pictured in the chart.

That step-up continues at the same rate of increase until age 70. Then it stops. By the same token, the optimal age for the repayment-reapplication strategy appears to be as one turns 70. After that, benefits do not increase and any additional benefits will have to be repaid.

To estimate the figurative “return on investment” from a payback, the author needed to find the annual increase in benefits received, as a percentage of the total dollar payback required.

The precise Return on Effective Repayment was (at least) 8.65% for Professor Holden. Since the repayment is fixed at the nominal repayment and benefits are indexed for inflation, it is a real return. Given that inflation is a major risk for retirees, this approach is an attractive element for retirees’ financial portfolio.

This article has been adapted from a longer article in the latest issue of Research Reports. Details on the process (and a timeline Professor Holden uses to document the steps in the process) are available free to AIER subscribers or $2 for non-members. Also in this issue:

  • Business Cycle Conditions - November 2009
    Our leading indicators point to probable expansion, but long-term trends foretell a rough road ahead for employment.
    by Polina Vlasenko, Research Fellow
  • The Un-COLA
    Declining prices may mean two years without cost-of-living adjustments to Social Security. But this isn’t necessarily a bad thing.
    by Polina Vlasenko, Research Fellow
  • Ask the Expert: Homestead Protection
    Homestead declarations can protect assets, but not from government claims.
    by
    Attorney Steven J.J. Weisman

To subscribe to AIER Research Reports, please become an AIER member. Membership starts at just $39 per year.

Already a member? Keep your eye out for the October 5 issue of Research Reports hitting your mailbox or inbox soon.

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Comments (4)
Re: Carol Meyer's comment on tax consequences
4 Monday, 07 December 2009 09:23
Kerry Lynch
In the full Research Reports article on Social Security Paybacks (not the shorter web commentary), we noted that there are tax consequences to paybacks, and that you can find helpful information on page 15 of IRS Publication 915.

Kerry Lynch
Senior Fellow
AIER
How Social Security Paybacks Work
3 Thursday, 26 November 2009 12:19
Olaf Virro
This topic has been discussed elsewhere, but your explanation of it is the best I have come across.
I do, however, have a question about how the payback may be, or has to structured, in the case of a husband and wife, both of whom are receiving Social Security benefits AND where the wife's benefit has been increased to 50% of the husband's because that 50% amount is somewhat greater than the benefit based on her own earnings record:
If only the husband were to repay and start drawing the higher benefit amount age at age 70, would his wife then become eligible for 50% of his higher amount as well even if she did not repay her prior Social Security benefits?
On the one hand, the answer seems to be "no" as she took no action. On the other hand, the incremental benefit to the wife appears to be driven by what her husband's benefit turns out to be. For instance, if the husband were to merely wait until age 68 to start drawing his Social Security, I believe his wife's benefit would be adjusted to the 50% upper limit.
If the answer is "yes", wouldn't there be this additional benefit that would increase the "Return on Effective Repayment"?
Social Security Repayment Tax Considerations
2 Sunday, 22 November 2009 12:03
CMeyer283
We repaid my husband's SS from Aug., 2006 thru Dec., 2007 to reinroll him in Railroad Retirement, not SSA. We finally received a corrected 1099 for 2007 but are still unable to obtain a corrected 1099 for 2006. All is well for the paymnent stream from RRB. SSA never credited the 2006 repayment we made.

Your article made no mention of the tax consequences of repayment.

Please address this topic.

Regards,

Carol Meyer Member # 662509
How Social Security Paybacks Work
1 Saturday, 07 November 2009 21:10
Charles M Ortmann
I read this article in the Research Reports, with great interest. Perhaps I'm missing something, but I find one problem with it though. The author is gambling that he will live to 83 (the break-even point). The average life-expectancy in the US for a 70-year-old male is 14.9 years. If he dies next month his estate is out perhaps $65,000-$70,000 (net of the $101,000 that he returned and the new benefits received plus refunded taxes). If he lives to 84.9 his estate will be ahead only $15,000 plus a few dollars because of the larger COLA amounts over the years. It doesn't seem like a good bet to me; "a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush".

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