Free societies depend on reliable information.The American Institute for Economic Research provides factual, unbiased research and critical analysis based on the principles of positive economics. We educate individuals on how to protect their interests, and help policymakers make informed decisions for a better America.

Positive Economics

Positive economics is devoid of the value judgments and ideology of normative economics. We determine the probable consequences of government policy and of alternative or actual economic changes based on an objective analysis of data, experience, and history. We focus solely on what is, was, and what is likely to be.

“For over 70 years, the American Institute for Economic Research has done a highly credible job tracking U.S. Business cycles.”
–Archie Richards, "Money Matters” columnist

Business-Cycle Analysis

For nearly 80 years, AIER has analysed business cycles, the recurrent phases of expansion and contraction of business activity, more commonly known as boom and bust. Recessions affect everyone, and everyone wants to know where the economy is heading. By analyzing selected economic series, we have developed statistical indicators that help forecast turning points in the economy just prior to or shortly after their occurrence, as well as longer term trends. Every month we make this analysis available to policy makers and the general public.

Sound Money

Modern monetary market economies require three fundamentals to succeed: sound money, private property rights, and reliable information. Sound money—a monetary system that preserves purchasing power and therefore the viability of the currency as a medium of exchange—is a cornerstone of a modern market economy. We believe our research can help America—and the rest of the world—get back to using sound fiscal policy that will benefit everyone.

Free Markets

AIER believes free markets are the great engine of human prosperity. Free markets support the profit incentives for industry, innovation, and the competitive process of supply and demand, and bring the productive activities of tens of thousands of businesses into balance with the demands of consumers around the globe.

Education

AIER has embarked on a major outreach program to educate Congress on the economic consequences of government policy. We also provide education in the fields of economics and financial literacy to people of all ages, as well as to post-graduate economics students who will help carry us forward as future economists at universities, corporations, and governments.